{ "retrievedAt": "2026-10-18T20:03:24.052574+00:00", "method": "Fixed ridge regression (alpha=1), 70/30 chronological split; training targets end before test starts; exact hourly timestamps; complete preceding six-hour rainfall intervals; no imputation. Standardisation uses training data only. Features use observation timestamps, not publication availability.", "results": [ { "horizon": 1, "trainCount": 460, "testCount": 199, "testStart": 1791604800, "testEnd": 1792346400, "metrics": [ { "model": "Persistence", "maeCm": 0.2829145728643216, "rmseCm": 0.44995812200446933 }, { "model": "Diglis trend model", "maeCm": 0.2331101268592154, "rmseCm": 0.3759249873444879 }, { "model": "Upstream + local rain", "maeCm": 0.17782355539319522, "rmseCm": 0.26341679749789954 } ], "trace": [ { "time": 1791608400, "actual": 0.496, "baseline": 0.496, "model": 0.49648497912951095 }, { "time": 1791612000, "actual": 0.496, "baseline": 0.496, "model": 0.49683739421010453 }, { "time": 1791615600, "actual": 0.496, "baseline": 0.496, "model": 0.49659760624863575 }, { "time": 1791619200, "actual": 0.495, "baseline": 0.496, "model": 0.4962620781522608 }, { "time": 1791622800, "actual": 0.496, "baseline": 0.495, "model": 0.49563301382882974 }, { "time": 1791626400, "actual": 0.495, "baseline": 0.496, "model": 0.49626438333387973 }, { "time": 1791630000, "actual": 0.497, "baseline": 0.495, "model": 0.4956026082116576 }, { "time": 1791633600, "actual": 0.495, "baseline": 0.497, "model": 0.49748603427633886 }, { "time": 1791637200, "actual": 0.494, "baseline": 0.495, "model": 0.49644996907416306 }, { "time": 1791640800, "actual": 0.498, "baseline": 0.494, "model": 0.4955950359070474 }, { "time": 1791644400, "actual": 0.498, "baseline": 0.498, "model": 0.5001527962643588 }, { "time": 1791648000, "actual": 0.502, "baseline": 0.498, "model": 0.5009204160266335 }, { "time": 1791651600, "actual": 0.502, "baseline": 0.502, "model": 0.5021628613102675 }, { "time": 1791655200, "actual": 0.503, "baseline": 0.502, "model": 0.49960267826668364 }, { "time": 1791658800, "actual": 0.5, "baseline": 0.503, "model": 0.4989947004604746 }, { "time": 1791662400, "actual": 0.499, "baseline": 0.5, "model": 0.4982283823991396 }, { "time": 1791666000, "actual": 0.499, "baseline": 0.499, "model": 0.4983923640233792 }, { "time": 1791669600, "actual": 0.498, "baseline": 0.499, "model": 0.4990989785625294 }, { "time": 1791673200, "actual": 0.5, "baseline": 0.498, "model": 0.4985260792658961 }, { "time": 1791676800, "actual": 0.5, "baseline": 0.5, "model": 0.4998853907785481 }, { "time": 1791680400, "actual": 0.5, "baseline": 0.5, "model": 0.500057238007978 }, { "time": 1791684000, "actual": 0.502, "baseline": 0.5, "model": 0.4996366726225275 }, { "time": 1791687600, "actual": 0.501, "baseline": 0.502, "model": 0.5018976594072523 }, { "time": 1791691200, "actual": 0.501, "baseline": 0.501, "model": 0.5027140869530693 }, { "time": 1791694800, "actual": 0.504, "baseline": 0.501, "model": 0.5050615210726596 }, { "time": 1791698400, "actual": 0.509, "baseline": 0.504, "model": 0.511813270894619 }, { "time": 1791702000, "actual": 0.523, "baseline": 0.509, "model": 0.5221609579155295 }, { "time": 1791705600, "actual": 0.543, "baseline": 0.523, "model": 0.5414689224459421 }, { "time": 1791709200, "actual": 0.566, "baseline": 0.543, "model": 0.5652060427527483 }, { "time": 1791712800, "actual": 0.586, "baseline": 0.566, "model": 0.5874929930077308 }, { "time": 1791716400, "actual": 0.604, "baseline": 0.586, "model": 0.6038753599999579 }, { "time": 1791720000, "actual": 0.615, "baseline": 0.604, "model": 0.6162671368851476 }, { "time": 1791723600, "actual": 0.623, "baseline": 0.615, "model": 0.6246078032924519 }, { "time": 1791727200, "actual": 0.631, "baseline": 0.623, "model": 0.6307827009539824 }, { "time": 1791730800, "actual": 0.618, "baseline": 0.631, "model": 0.6361801799164635 }, { "time": 1791734400, "actual": 0.634, "baseline": 0.618, "model": 0.6237783946474011 }, { "time": 1791738000, "actual": 0.639, "baseline": 0.634, "model": 0.632170521743551 }, { "time": 1791741600, "actual": 0.642, "baseline": 0.639, "model": 0.6377507767224817 }, { "time": 1791745200, "actual": 0.641, "baseline": 0.642, "model": 0.6395269079523218 }, { "time": 1791748800, "actual": 0.642, "baseline": 0.641, "model": 0.6404167242696168 }, { "time": 1791752400, "actual": 0.641, "baseline": 0.642, "model": 0.6406078370102181 }, { "time": 1791756000, "actual": 0.641, "baseline": 0.641, "model": 0.639399495041031 }, { "time": 1791759600, "actual": 0.641, "baseline": 0.641, "model": 0.6386102631473665 }, { "time": 1791763200, "actual": 0.639, "baseline": 0.641, "model": 0.6384593725738208 }, { "time": 1791766800, "actual": 0.637, "baseline": 0.639, "model": 0.6363784049564108 }, { "time": 1791770400, "actual": 0.635, "baseline": 0.637, "model": 0.6342407025657465 }, { "time": 1791774000, "actual": 0.632, "baseline": 0.635, "model": 0.6322248580217181 }, { "time": 1791777600, "actual": 0.63, "baseline": 0.632, "model": 0.6292036617069477 }, { "time": 1791781200, "actual": 0.627, "baseline": 0.63, "model": 0.6273173526913726 }, { "time": 1791784800, "actual": 0.625, "baseline": 0.627, "model": 0.624538187811549 }, { "time": 1791788400, "actual": 0.623, "baseline": 0.625, "model": 0.6225872263794059 }, { "time": 1791792000, "actual": 0.62, "baseline": 0.623, "model": 0.6206794095156121 }, { "time": 1791795600, "actual": 0.618, "baseline": 0.62, "model": 0.6176513976383978 }, { "time": 1791799200, "actual": 0.614, "baseline": 0.618, "model": 0.6152831834607028 }, { "time": 1791802800, "actual": 0.612, "baseline": 0.614, "model": 0.6117531876072759 }, { "time": 1791806400, "actual": 0.613, "baseline": 0.612, "model": 0.6096936241137921 }, { "time": 1791810000, "actual": 0.613, "baseline": 0.613, "model": 0.6101735020981413 }, { "time": 1791813600, "actual": 0.611, "baseline": 0.613, "model": 0.6107745645869045 }, { "time": 1791817200, "actual": 0.606, "baseline": 0.611, "model": 0.6095828551417763 }, { "time": 1791820800, "actual": 0.603, "baseline": 0.606, "model": 0.6040798480903598 }, { "time": 1791824400, "actual": 0.596, "baseline": 0.603, "model": 0.5978596962053384 }, { "time": 1791828000, "actual": 0.591, "baseline": 0.596, "model": 0.590119246126835 }, { "time": 1791831600, "actual": 0.587, "baseline": 0.591, "model": 0.58542051627402 }, { "time": 1791835200, "actual": 0.584, "baseline": 0.587, "model": 0.5833258183628623 }, { "time": 1791838800, "actual": 0.581, "baseline": 0.584, "model": 0.5806787353891905 }, { "time": 1791842400, "actual": 0.579, "baseline": 0.581, "model": 0.5784081250525175 }, { "time": 1791846000, "actual": 0.577, "baseline": 0.579, "model": 0.5762599693387197 }, { "time": 1791849600, "actual": 0.577, "baseline": 0.577, "model": 0.5743729566314831 }, { "time": 1791853200, "actual": 0.573, "baseline": 0.577, "model": 0.574063847083597 }, { "time": 1791856800, "actual": 0.568, "baseline": 0.573, "model": 0.570970970511642 }, { "time": 1791860400, "actual": 0.566, "baseline": 0.568, "model": 0.5666574500341336 }, { "time": 1791864000, "actual": 0.566, "baseline": 0.566, "model": 0.5650016078226425 }, { "time": 1791867600, "actual": 0.565, "baseline": 0.566, "model": 0.5648752902417502 }, { "time": 1791871200, "actual": 0.56, "baseline": 0.565, "model": 0.5640685749820301 }, { "time": 1791874800, "actual": 0.563, "baseline": 0.56, "model": 0.5598308659261824 }, { "time": 1791878400, "actual": 0.56, "baseline": 0.563, "model": 0.5614511171729041 }, { "time": 1791882000, "actual": 0.561, "baseline": 0.56, "model": 0.5588357730479668 }, { "time": 1791885600, "actual": 0.561, "baseline": 0.561, "model": 0.5585380404240121 }, { "time": 1791889200, "actual": 0.557, "baseline": 0.561, "model": 0.5593038561568432 }, { "time": 1791892800, "actual": 0.56, "baseline": 0.557, "model": 0.5558280249395371 }, { "time": 1791896400, "actual": 0.556, "baseline": 0.56, "model": 0.5576387626918173 }, { "time": 1791900000, "actual": 0.557, "baseline": 0.556, "model": 0.5558185148189309 }, { "time": 1791903600, "actual": 0.552, "baseline": 0.557, "model": 0.5563151678984976 }, { "time": 1791907200, "actual": 0.55, "baseline": 0.552, "model": 0.5516944209476652 }, { "time": 1791910800, "actual": 0.549, "baseline": 0.55, "model": 0.5469795999488993 }, { "time": 1791914400, "actual": 0.546, "baseline": 0.549, "model": 0.5456641646559149 }, { "time": 1791918000, "actual": 0.545, "baseline": 0.546, "model": 0.5446120300358929 }, { "time": 1791921600, "actual": 0.545, "baseline": 0.545, "model": 0.5444868142910203 }, { "time": 1791925200, "actual": 0.544, "baseline": 0.545, "model": 0.5446357729832386 }, { "time": 1791928800, "actual": 0.544, "baseline": 0.544, "model": 0.5429443611699818 }, { "time": 1791932400, "actual": 0.543, "baseline": 0.544, "model": 0.5420499741259256 }, { "time": 1791936000, "actual": 0.542, "baseline": 0.543, "model": 0.5408411341476193 }, { "time": 1791939600, "actual": 0.54, "baseline": 0.542, "model": 0.5397130921625951 }, { "time": 1791943200, "actual": 0.539, "baseline": 0.54, "model": 0.5383047529758919 }, { "time": 1791946800, "actual": 0.537, "baseline": 0.539, "model": 0.537560315946357 }, { "time": 1791950400, "actual": 0.536, "baseline": 0.537, "model": 0.5363405821319323 }, { "time": 1791954000, "actual": 0.536, "baseline": 0.536, "model": 0.5354609676643218 }, { "time": 1791957600, "actual": 0.534, "baseline": 0.536, "model": 0.5356138032458476 }, { "time": 1791961200, "actual": 0.534, "baseline": 0.534, "model": 0.5340633417175285 }, { "time": 1791964800, "actual": 0.535, "baseline": 0.534, "model": 0.5341745667530924 }, { "time": 1791968400, "actual": 0.532, "baseline": 0.535, "model": 0.5349018669425594 }, { "time": 1791972000, "actual": 0.538, "baseline": 0.532, "model": 0.5324102145084106 }, { "time": 1791975600, "actual": 0.533, "baseline": 0.538, "model": 0.5367604891548265 }, { "time": 1791979200, "actual": 0.532, "baseline": 0.533, "model": 0.5340358397504114 }, { "time": 1791982800, "actual": 0.531, "baseline": 0.532, "model": 0.5322213546150917 }, { "time": 1791986400, "actual": 0.534, "baseline": 0.531, "model": 0.5324443854147841 }, { "time": 1791990000, "actual": 0.534, "baseline": 0.534, "model": 0.5350292776517216 }, { "time": 1791993600, "actual": 0.529, "baseline": 0.534, "model": 0.5339487102361047 }, { "time": 1791997200, "actual": 0.53, "baseline": 0.529, "model": 0.5270269234289755 }, { "time": 1792000800, "actual": 0.524, "baseline": 0.53, "model": 0.5249177638396956 }, { "time": 1792004400, "actual": 0.523, "baseline": 0.524, "model": 0.52116383238279 }, { "time": 1792008000, "actual": 0.523, "baseline": 0.523, "model": 0.5213483598438955 }, { "time": 1792011600, "actual": 0.521, "baseline": 0.523, "model": 0.5226783458748941 }, { "time": 1792015200, "actual": 0.523, "baseline": 0.521, "model": 0.5212371553800481 }, { "time": 1792018800, "actual": 0.525, "baseline": 0.523, "model": 0.5224849711064457 }, { "time": 1792022400, "actual": 0.524, "baseline": 0.525, "model": 0.5242068792421394 }, { "time": 1792026000, "actual": 0.521, "baseline": 0.524, "model": 0.5232097534745611 }, { "time": 1792029600, "actual": 0.522, "baseline": 0.521, "model": 0.5208307587441429 }, { "time": 1792033200, "actual": 0.522, "baseline": 0.522, "model": 0.5216082803137843 }, { "time": 1792036800, "actual": 0.521, "baseline": 0.522, "model": 0.5219167985247186 }, { "time": 1792040400, "actual": 0.519, "baseline": 0.521, "model": 0.5211697656749581 }, { "time": 1792044000, "actual": 0.521, "baseline": 0.519, "model": 0.5198162974847035 }, { "time": 1792047600, "actual": 0.521, "baseline": 0.521, "model": 0.5213428066105111 }, { "time": 1792051200, "actual": 0.523, "baseline": 0.521, "model": 0.5218075478080851 }, { "time": 1792054800, "actual": 0.523, "baseline": 0.523, "model": 0.5233775526817701 }, { "time": 1792058400, "actual": 0.522, "baseline": 0.523, "model": 0.5237313406244656 }, { "time": 1792062000, "actual": 0.521, "baseline": 0.522, "model": 0.5230751883580171 }, { "time": 1792094400, "actual": 0.527, "baseline": 0.525, "model": 0.5259594401762882 }, { "time": 1792098000, "actual": 0.528, "baseline": 0.527, "model": 0.5280088907597328 }, { "time": 1792101600, "actual": 0.53, "baseline": 0.528, "model": 0.5292653557982613 }, { "time": 1792105200, "actual": 0.532, "baseline": 0.53, "model": 0.5303345583799007 }, { "time": 1792108800, "actual": 0.533, "baseline": 0.532, "model": 0.5313001278730042 }, { "time": 1792112400, "actual": 0.533, "baseline": 0.533, "model": 0.5321439479620305 }, { "time": 1792116000, "actual": 0.535, "baseline": 0.533, "model": 0.5319137837129378 }, { "time": 1792119600, "actual": 0.538, "baseline": 0.535, "model": 0.5339945768016031 }, { "time": 1792123200, "actual": 0.54, "baseline": 0.538, "model": 0.5362972812103204 }, { "time": 1792126800, "actual": 0.541, "baseline": 0.54, "model": 0.5385545765490332 }, { "time": 1792130400, "actual": 0.547, "baseline": 0.541, "model": 0.5409200353027837 }, { "time": 1792134000, "actual": 0.549, "baseline": 0.547, "model": 0.5463940643794657 }, { "time": 1792137600, "actual": 0.55, "baseline": 0.549, "model": 0.54902662016122 }, { "time": 1792141200, "actual": 0.552, "baseline": 0.55, "model": 0.549581878650019 }, { "time": 1792144800, "actual": 0.551, "baseline": 0.552, "model": 0.5519677283882615 }, { "time": 1792148400, "actual": 0.552, "baseline": 0.551, "model": 0.551483544365722 }, { "time": 1792152000, "actual": 0.549, "baseline": 0.552, "model": 0.5523449691284533 }, { "time": 1792155600, "actual": 0.554, "baseline": 0.549, "model": 0.5499323267319406 }, { "time": 1792159200, "actual": 0.554, "baseline": 0.554, "model": 0.5538309670050446 }, { "time": 1792162800, "actual": 0.559, "baseline": 0.554, "model": 0.5549705460566988 }, { "time": 1792166400, "actual": 0.561, "baseline": 0.559, "model": 0.5575573813613525 }, { "time": 1792170000, "actual": 0.56, "baseline": 0.561, "model": 0.5568919457803132 }, { "time": 1792173600, "actual": 0.559, "baseline": 0.56, "model": 0.5536399505257521 }, { "time": 1792177200, "actual": 0.558, "baseline": 0.559, "model": 0.5538536191001308 }, { "time": 1792180800, "actual": 0.556, "baseline": 0.558, "model": 0.555414602994782 }, { "time": 1792184400, "actual": 0.554, "baseline": 0.556, "model": 0.5551121770805403 }, { "time": 1792188000, "actual": 0.554, "baseline": 0.554, "model": 0.5540401203589836 }, { "time": 1792191600, "actual": 0.552, "baseline": 0.554, "model": 0.5537232739883279 }, { "time": 1792195200, "actual": 0.552, "baseline": 0.552, "model": 0.551929016200674 }, { "time": 1792198800, "actual": 0.55, "baseline": 0.552, "model": 0.5514293882571036 }, { "time": 1792202400, "actual": 0.55, "baseline": 0.55, "model": 0.5497672106412917 }, { "time": 1792206000, "actual": 0.547, "baseline": 0.55, "model": 0.5493172715475556 }, { "time": 1792209600, "actual": 0.545, "baseline": 0.547, "model": 0.546723819146953 }, { "time": 1792213200, "actual": 0.544, "baseline": 0.545, "model": 0.5448754134121598 }, { "time": 1792216800, "actual": 0.543, "baseline": 0.544, "model": 0.5441665133039156 }, { "time": 1792220400, "actual": 0.542, "baseline": 0.543, "model": 0.5432101598179992 }, { "time": 1792224000, "actual": 0.54, "baseline": 0.542, "model": 0.5423950364999883 }, { "time": 1792227600, "actual": 0.538, "baseline": 0.54, "model": 0.5404361366363735 }, { "time": 1792231200, "actual": 0.538, "baseline": 0.538, "model": 0.5383618184543424 }, { "time": 1792234800, "actual": 0.535, "baseline": 0.538, "model": 0.5380884494452081 }, { "time": 1792238400, "actual": 0.528, "baseline": 0.535, "model": 0.5357959042855782 }, { "time": 1792242000, "actual": 0.532, "baseline": 0.528, "model": 0.5293232894774503 }, { "time": 1792245600, "actual": 0.53, "baseline": 0.532, "model": 0.5319060860086234 }, { "time": 1792249200, "actual": 0.531, "baseline": 0.53, "model": 0.5313905525296068 }, { "time": 1792252800, "actual": 0.53, "baseline": 0.531, "model": 0.5306905247300595 }, { "time": 1792256400, "actual": 0.527, "baseline": 0.53, "model": 0.5282583733363702 }, { "time": 1792260000, "actual": 0.524, "baseline": 0.527, "model": 0.5238298400125703 }, { "time": 1792263600, "actual": 0.524, "baseline": 0.524, "model": 0.5222410922637014 }, { "time": 1792267200, "actual": 0.524, "baseline": 0.524, "model": 0.5239599054839078 }, { "time": 1792270800, "actual": 0.525, "baseline": 0.524, "model": 0.52545468366142 }, { "time": 1792274400, "actual": 0.528, "baseline": 0.525, "model": 0.5272506947711124 }, { "time": 1792278000, "actual": 0.53, "baseline": 0.528, "model": 0.5310260205058792 }, { "time": 1792281600, "actual": 0.534, "baseline": 0.53, "model": 0.5342823919106421 }, { "time": 1792285200, "actual": 0.539, "baseline": 0.534, "model": 0.5392801353976215 }, { "time": 1792288800, "actual": 0.545, "baseline": 0.539, "model": 0.5455310561379266 }, { "time": 1792292400, "actual": 0.552, "baseline": 0.545, "model": 0.5518347926870772 }, { "time": 1792296000, "actual": 0.558, "baseline": 0.552, "model": 0.5590597971000194 }, { "time": 1792299600, "actual": 0.565, "baseline": 0.558, "model": 0.5647916857278881 }, { "time": 1792303200, "actual": 0.572, "baseline": 0.565, "model": 0.5707006045069188 }, { "time": 1792306800, "actual": 0.577, "baseline": 0.572, "model": 0.576710396792436 }, { "time": 1792310400, "actual": 0.582, "baseline": 0.577, "model": 0.5804372053712983 }, { "time": 1792314000, "actual": 0.587, "baseline": 0.582, "model": 0.5839810125757343 }, { "time": 1792317600, "actual": 0.584, "baseline": 0.587, "model": 0.5874669426430151 }, { "time": 1792321200, "actual": 0.587, "baseline": 0.584, "model": 0.5848293485499714 }, { "time": 1792324800, "actual": 0.581, "baseline": 0.587, "model": 0.5865551587037011 }, { "time": 1792328400, "actual": 0.578, "baseline": 0.581, "model": 0.5817260736713743 }, { "time": 1792332000, "actual": 0.573, "baseline": 0.578, "model": 0.577860493321721 }, { "time": 1792335600, "actual": 0.576, "baseline": 0.573, "model": 0.5732666677566928 }, { "time": 1792339200, "actual": 0.573, "baseline": 0.576, "model": 0.5740162813886627 }, { "time": 1792342800, "actual": 0.578, "baseline": 0.573, "model": 0.5715755397630189 }, { "time": 1792346400, "actual": 0.577, "baseline": 0.578, "model": 0.5748638477714004 }, { "time": 1792350000, "actual": 0.575, "baseline": 0.577, "model": 0.5749476278054663 } ] }, { "horizon": 3, "trainCount": 456, "testCount": 197, "testStart": 1791604800, "testEnd": 1792339200, "metrics": [ { "model": "Persistence", "maeCm": 0.6730964467005077, "rmseCm": 1.149089244302007 }, { "model": "Diglis trend model", "maeCm": 0.5378495248520258, "rmseCm": 0.92017792836299 }, { "model": "Upstream + local rain", "maeCm": 0.3011551008964718, "rmseCm": 0.41500708156370925 } ], "trace": [ { "time": 1791615600, "actual": 0.496, "baseline": 0.496, "model": 0.49705806496781035 }, { "time": 1791619200, "actual": 0.495, "baseline": 0.496, "model": 0.49810245829837174 }, { "time": 1791622800, "actual": 0.496, "baseline": 0.496, "model": 0.49778659317042023 }, { "time": 1791626400, "actual": 0.495, "baseline": 0.496, "model": 0.49677677425038236 }, { "time": 1791630000, "actual": 0.497, "baseline": 0.495, "model": 0.4960619044116792 }, { "time": 1791633600, "actual": 0.495, "baseline": 0.496, "model": 0.49636274003934366 }, { "time": 1791637200, "actual": 0.494, "baseline": 0.495, "model": 0.4964296972158904 }, { "time": 1791640800, "actual": 0.498, "baseline": 0.497, "model": 0.5006185529606549 }, { "time": 1791644400, "actual": 0.498, "baseline": 0.495, "model": 0.5023805731079236 }, { "time": 1791648000, "actual": 0.502, "baseline": 0.494, "model": 0.5003662436058959 }, { "time": 1791651600, "actual": 0.502, "baseline": 0.498, "model": 0.5007149865621712 }, { "time": 1791655200, "actual": 0.503, "baseline": 0.498, "model": 0.4999919355786677 }, { "time": 1791658800, "actual": 0.5, "baseline": 0.502, "model": 0.4998785275845825 }, { "time": 1791662400, "actual": 0.499, "baseline": 0.502, "model": 0.49609824710407585 }, { "time": 1791666000, "actual": 0.499, "baseline": 0.503, "model": 0.4948603191482769 }, { "time": 1791669600, "actual": 0.498, "baseline": 0.5, "model": 0.49601670285997346 }, { "time": 1791673200, "actual": 0.5, "baseline": 0.499, "model": 0.49772200413758516 }, { "time": 1791676800, "actual": 0.5, "baseline": 0.499, "model": 0.49902274541575264 }, { "time": 1791680400, "actual": 0.5, "baseline": 0.498, "model": 0.49900195197816993 }, { "time": 1791684000, "actual": 0.502, "baseline": 0.5, "model": 0.49998718764556016 }, { "time": 1791687600, "actual": 0.501, "baseline": 0.5, "model": 0.5001420637891466 }, { "time": 1791691200, "actual": 0.501, "baseline": 0.5, "model": 0.498983863244 }, { "time": 1791694800, "actual": 0.504, "baseline": 0.502, "model": 0.5025047927667914 }, { "time": 1791698400, "actual": 0.509, "baseline": 0.501, "model": 0.5096172106774279 }, { "time": 1791702000, "actual": 0.523, "baseline": 0.501, "model": 0.5227533183527451 }, { "time": 1791705600, "actual": 0.543, "baseline": 0.504, "model": 0.5418806871691243 }, { "time": 1791709200, "actual": 0.566, "baseline": 0.509, "model": 0.5613744027886971 }, { "time": 1791712800, "actual": 0.586, "baseline": 0.523, "model": 0.5837436434346721 }, { "time": 1791716400, "actual": 0.604, "baseline": 0.543, "model": 0.6058096966211176 }, { "time": 1791720000, "actual": 0.615, "baseline": 0.566, "model": 0.6234771957643269 }, { "time": 1791723600, "actual": 0.623, "baseline": 0.586, "model": 0.6332762570864625 }, { "time": 1791727200, "actual": 0.631, "baseline": 0.604, "model": 0.6364927952466497 }, { "time": 1791730800, "actual": 0.618, "baseline": 0.615, "model": 0.6359442802817974 }, { "time": 1791734400, "actual": 0.634, "baseline": 0.623, "model": 0.6353698666038041 }, { "time": 1791738000, "actual": 0.639, "baseline": 0.631, "model": 0.6372992696765544 }, { "time": 1791741600, "actual": 0.642, "baseline": 0.618, "model": 0.625625640155594 }, { "time": 1791745200, "actual": 0.641, "baseline": 0.634, "model": 0.6292540442208799 }, { "time": 1791748800, "actual": 0.642, "baseline": 0.639, "model": 0.634774246339411 }, { "time": 1791752400, "actual": 0.641, "baseline": 0.642, "model": 0.6364886467782788 }, { "time": 1791756000, "actual": 0.641, "baseline": 0.641, "model": 0.6375136533207889 }, { "time": 1791759600, "actual": 0.641, "baseline": 0.642, "model": 0.6370346404571341 }, { "time": 1791763200, "actual": 0.639, "baseline": 0.641, "model": 0.6339382920932549 }, { "time": 1791766800, "actual": 0.637, "baseline": 0.641, "model": 0.6334031192757232 }, { "time": 1791770400, "actual": 0.635, "baseline": 0.641, "model": 0.6331024570261059 }, { "time": 1791774000, "actual": 0.632, "baseline": 0.639, "model": 0.6307737148844428 }, { "time": 1791777600, "actual": 0.63, "baseline": 0.637, "model": 0.6284489208379084 }, { "time": 1791781200, "actual": 0.627, "baseline": 0.635, "model": 0.6265550830721391 }, { "time": 1791784800, "actual": 0.625, "baseline": 0.632, "model": 0.6238618536827991 }, { "time": 1791788400, "actual": 0.623, "baseline": 0.63, "model": 0.62249456880187 }, { "time": 1791792000, "actual": 0.62, "baseline": 0.627, "model": 0.6201400545846704 }, { "time": 1791795600, "actual": 0.618, "baseline": 0.625, "model": 0.6178931493251453 }, { "time": 1791799200, "actual": 0.614, "baseline": 0.623, "model": 0.6154624857389006 }, { "time": 1791802800, "actual": 0.612, "baseline": 0.62, "model": 0.6123606129895741 }, { "time": 1791806400, "actual": 0.613, "baseline": 0.618, "model": 0.6099957157289311 }, { "time": 1791810000, "actual": 0.613, "baseline": 0.614, "model": 0.608590999437917 }, { "time": 1791813600, "actual": 0.611, "baseline": 0.612, "model": 0.6086227821489802 }, { "time": 1791817200, "actual": 0.606, "baseline": 0.613, "model": 0.6080730663367909 }, { "time": 1791820800, "actual": 0.603, "baseline": 0.613, "model": 0.6050373619998254 }, { "time": 1791824400, "actual": 0.596, "baseline": 0.611, "model": 0.6014446452236509 }, { "time": 1791828000, "actual": 0.591, "baseline": 0.606, "model": 0.5952251343929874 }, { "time": 1791831600, "actual": 0.587, "baseline": 0.603, "model": 0.5877240681347915 }, { "time": 1791835200, "actual": 0.584, "baseline": 0.596, "model": 0.5801305655115615 }, { "time": 1791838800, "actual": 0.581, "baseline": 0.591, "model": 0.5771122921864236 }, { "time": 1791842400, "actual": 0.579, "baseline": 0.587, "model": 0.5771220934842372 }, { "time": 1791846000, "actual": 0.577, "baseline": 0.584, "model": 0.5755042827853561 }, { "time": 1791849600, "actual": 0.577, "baseline": 0.581, "model": 0.5739495720984555 }, { "time": 1791853200, "actual": 0.573, "baseline": 0.579, "model": 0.5719372830818674 }, { "time": 1791856800, "actual": 0.568, "baseline": 0.577, "model": 0.5700149685580082 }, { "time": 1791860400, "actual": 0.566, "baseline": 0.577, "model": 0.5697005254401505 }, { "time": 1791864000, "actual": 0.566, "baseline": 0.573, "model": 0.567715564134471 }, { "time": 1791867600, "actual": 0.565, "baseline": 0.568, "model": 0.5645000278694118 }, { "time": 1791871200, "actual": 0.56, "baseline": 0.566, "model": 0.5631277873905943 }, { "time": 1791874800, "actual": 0.563, "baseline": 0.566, "model": 0.5631911885079822 }, { "time": 1791878400, "actual": 0.56, "baseline": 0.565, "model": 0.5626634788854259 }, { "time": 1791882000, "actual": 0.561, "baseline": 0.56, "model": 0.5587241600209872 }, { "time": 1791885600, "actual": 0.561, "baseline": 0.563, "model": 0.5589458026451399 }, { "time": 1791889200, "actual": 0.557, "baseline": 0.56, "model": 0.5560909805888306 }, { "time": 1791892800, "actual": 0.56, "baseline": 0.561, "model": 0.5552032115339564 }, { "time": 1791896400, "actual": 0.556, "baseline": 0.561, "model": 0.5576786854868935 }, { "time": 1791900000, "actual": 0.557, "baseline": 0.557, "model": 0.556088569316367 }, { "time": 1791903600, "actual": 0.552, "baseline": 0.56, "model": 0.5555064236083623 }, { "time": 1791907200, "actual": 0.55, "baseline": 0.556, "model": 0.5519385845537859 }, { "time": 1791910800, "actual": 0.549, "baseline": 0.557, "model": 0.5511370615678203 }, { "time": 1791914400, "actual": 0.546, "baseline": 0.552, "model": 0.548461473602516 }, { "time": 1791918000, "actual": 0.545, "baseline": 0.55, "model": 0.5435526649069196 }, { "time": 1791921600, "actual": 0.545, "baseline": 0.549, "model": 0.5423700340020113 }, { "time": 1791925200, "actual": 0.544, "baseline": 0.546, "model": 0.5430951630312836 }, { "time": 1791928800, "actual": 0.544, "baseline": 0.545, "model": 0.5429160212965466 }, { "time": 1791932400, "actual": 0.543, "baseline": 0.545, "model": 0.5427793828827985 }, { "time": 1791936000, "actual": 0.542, "baseline": 0.544, "model": 0.5399900186257642 }, { "time": 1791939600, "actual": 0.54, "baseline": 0.544, "model": 0.5384317793385878 }, { "time": 1791943200, "actual": 0.539, "baseline": 0.543, "model": 0.5372250860708053 }, { "time": 1791946800, "actual": 0.537, "baseline": 0.542, "model": 0.5363051275464942 }, { "time": 1791950400, "actual": 0.536, "baseline": 0.54, "model": 0.5355279245613838 }, { "time": 1791954000, "actual": 0.536, "baseline": 0.539, "model": 0.5354389271524844 }, { "time": 1791957600, "actual": 0.534, "baseline": 0.537, "model": 0.5351071405909172 }, { "time": 1791961200, "actual": 0.534, "baseline": 0.536, "model": 0.5351400494972555 }, { "time": 1791964800, "actual": 0.535, "baseline": 0.536, "model": 0.5356775202623034 }, { "time": 1791968400, "actual": 0.532, "baseline": 0.534, "model": 0.5343712383073179 }, { "time": 1791972000, "actual": 0.538, "baseline": 0.534, "model": 0.5340536305182848 }, { "time": 1791975600, "actual": 0.533, "baseline": 0.535, "model": 0.5343555698133747 }, { "time": 1791979200, "actual": 0.532, "baseline": 0.532, "model": 0.532254540271052 }, { "time": 1791982800, "actual": 0.531, "baseline": 0.538, "model": 0.5367875085663962 }, { "time": 1791986400, "actual": 0.534, "baseline": 0.533, "model": 0.537692785785397 }, { "time": 1791990000, "actual": 0.534, "baseline": 0.532, "model": 0.5351550276660042 }, { "time": 1791993600, "actual": 0.529, "baseline": 0.531, "model": 0.5319598535549419 }, { "time": 1791997200, "actual": 0.53, "baseline": 0.534, "model": 0.5307426739612672 }, { "time": 1792000800, "actual": 0.524, "baseline": 0.534, "model": 0.5287819147375044 }, { "time": 1792004400, "actual": 0.523, "baseline": 0.529, "model": 0.5226750373671064 }, { "time": 1792008000, "actual": 0.523, "baseline": 0.53, "model": 0.51910549121042 }, { "time": 1792011600, "actual": 0.521, "baseline": 0.524, "model": 0.5178323366839251 }, { "time": 1792015200, "actual": 0.523, "baseline": 0.523, "model": 0.5197201077474725 }, { "time": 1792018800, "actual": 0.525, "baseline": 0.523, "model": 0.5224042249972967 }, { "time": 1792022400, "actual": 0.524, "baseline": 0.521, "model": 0.5215263732380416 }, { "time": 1792026000, "actual": 0.521, "baseline": 0.523, "model": 0.5217570406461146 }, { "time": 1792029600, "actual": 0.522, "baseline": 0.525, "model": 0.5234599228445679 }, { "time": 1792033200, "actual": 0.522, "baseline": 0.524, "model": 0.5222946530571159 }, { "time": 1792036800, "actual": 0.521, "baseline": 0.521, "model": 0.5203122086424378 }, { "time": 1792040400, "actual": 0.519, "baseline": 0.522, "model": 0.5210509518913945 }, { "time": 1792044000, "actual": 0.521, "baseline": 0.522, "model": 0.5216905160802724 }, { "time": 1792047600, "actual": 0.521, "baseline": 0.521, "model": 0.521965095911501 }, { "time": 1792051200, "actual": 0.523, "baseline": 0.519, "model": 0.5216542282100441 }, { "time": 1792054800, "actual": 0.523, "baseline": 0.521, "model": 0.5227648086912339 }, { "time": 1792058400, "actual": 0.522, "baseline": 0.521, "model": 0.5229699037573817 }, { "time": 1792062000, "actual": 0.521, "baseline": 0.523, "model": 0.524228729685577 }, { "time": 1792069200, "actual": 0.526, "baseline": 0.522, "model": 0.5255930537998154 }, { "time": 1792072800, "actual": 0.527, "baseline": 0.521, "model": 0.5272032537116709 }, { "time": 1792101600, "actual": 0.53, "baseline": 0.525, "model": 0.5274528326048853 }, { "time": 1792105200, "actual": 0.532, "baseline": 0.527, "model": 0.5294236384627926 }, { "time": 1792108800, "actual": 0.533, "baseline": 0.528, "model": 0.5309324051300102 }, { "time": 1792112400, "actual": 0.533, "baseline": 0.53, "model": 0.5309199724145698 }, { "time": 1792116000, "actual": 0.535, "baseline": 0.532, "model": 0.5313225090297543 }, { "time": 1792119600, "actual": 0.538, "baseline": 0.533, "model": 0.5321579802034289 }, { "time": 1792123200, "actual": 0.54, "baseline": 0.533, "model": 0.5314713032325661 }, { "time": 1792126800, "actual": 0.541, "baseline": 0.535, "model": 0.5342632103787219 }, { "time": 1792130400, "actual": 0.547, "baseline": 0.538, "model": 0.5370896235761192 }, { "time": 1792134000, "actual": 0.549, "baseline": 0.54, "model": 0.5400590735875233 }, { "time": 1792137600, "actual": 0.55, "baseline": 0.541, "model": 0.5426460011703038 }, { "time": 1792141200, "actual": 0.552, "baseline": 0.547, "model": 0.5472192442364233 }, { "time": 1792144800, "actual": 0.551, "baseline": 0.549, "model": 0.5494296298342085 }, { "time": 1792148400, "actual": 0.552, "baseline": 0.55, "model": 0.5490321705607222 }, { "time": 1792152000, "actual": 0.549, "baseline": 0.552, "model": 0.5511322896367682 }, { "time": 1792155600, "actual": 0.554, "baseline": 0.551, "model": 0.5521229948425792 }, { "time": 1792159200, "actual": 0.554, "baseline": 0.552, "model": 0.5547540214173994 }, { "time": 1792162800, "actual": 0.559, "baseline": 0.549, "model": 0.5529891771746583 }, { "time": 1792166400, "actual": 0.561, "baseline": 0.554, "model": 0.5522991588765572 }, { "time": 1792170000, "actual": 0.56, "baseline": 0.554, "model": 0.5499112096298288 }, { "time": 1792173600, "actual": 0.559, "baseline": 0.559, "model": 0.5509780426337202 }, { "time": 1792177200, "actual": 0.558, "baseline": 0.561, "model": 0.549822626679784 }, { "time": 1792180800, "actual": 0.556, "baseline": 0.56, "model": 0.5463300957387381 }, { "time": 1792184400, "actual": 0.554, "baseline": 0.559, "model": 0.5478003741516756 }, { "time": 1792188000, "actual": 0.554, "baseline": 0.558, "model": 0.5519929517265341 }, { "time": 1792191600, "actual": 0.552, "baseline": 0.556, "model": 0.5532354967039393 }, { "time": 1792195200, "actual": 0.552, "baseline": 0.554, "model": 0.553285627383058 }, { "time": 1792198800, "actual": 0.55, "baseline": 0.554, "model": 0.5530397069867008 }, { "time": 1792202400, "actual": 0.55, "baseline": 0.552, "model": 0.5512721815240534 }, { "time": 1792206000, "actual": 0.547, "baseline": 0.552, "model": 0.5501112365206459 }, { "time": 1792209600, "actual": 0.545, "baseline": 0.55, "model": 0.5487458938068905 }, { "time": 1792213200, "actual": 0.544, "baseline": 0.55, "model": 0.5482938998617574 }, { "time": 1792216800, "actual": 0.543, "baseline": 0.547, "model": 0.54611800822896 }, { "time": 1792220400, "actual": 0.542, "baseline": 0.545, "model": 0.5449737001215075 }, { "time": 1792224000, "actual": 0.54, "baseline": 0.544, "model": 0.5444023558789932 }, { "time": 1792227600, "actual": 0.538, "baseline": 0.543, "model": 0.5435563935228315 }, { "time": 1792231200, "actual": 0.538, "baseline": 0.542, "model": 0.5426062578940636 }, { "time": 1792234800, "actual": 0.535, "baseline": 0.54, "model": 0.5405501449044232 }, { "time": 1792238400, "actual": 0.528, "baseline": 0.538, "model": 0.5379371173553772 }, { "time": 1792242000, "actual": 0.532, "baseline": 0.538, "model": 0.5380315850664606 }, { "time": 1792245600, "actual": 0.53, "baseline": 0.535, "model": 0.5381515746111247 }, { "time": 1792249200, "actual": 0.531, "baseline": 0.528, "model": 0.5323717949590043 }, { "time": 1792252800, "actual": 0.53, "baseline": 0.532, "model": 0.5310052852980289 }, { "time": 1792256400, "actual": 0.527, "baseline": 0.53, "model": 0.5285187138944555 }, { "time": 1792260000, "actual": 0.524, "baseline": 0.531, "model": 0.5275172394952422 }, { "time": 1792263600, "actual": 0.524, "baseline": 0.53, "model": 0.5254200344539429 }, { "time": 1792267200, "actual": 0.524, "baseline": 0.527, "model": 0.5211727515204306 }, { "time": 1792270800, "actual": 0.525, "baseline": 0.524, "model": 0.5213111556614332 }, { "time": 1792274400, "actual": 0.528, "baseline": 0.524, "model": 0.5258283804395092 }, { "time": 1792278000, "actual": 0.53, "baseline": 0.524, "model": 0.5297536663329949 }, { "time": 1792281600, "actual": 0.534, "baseline": 0.525, "model": 0.5341252681041017 }, { "time": 1792285200, "actual": 0.539, "baseline": 0.528, "model": 0.5401585899562319 }, { "time": 1792288800, "actual": 0.545, "baseline": 0.53, "model": 0.5454944543683445 }, { "time": 1792292400, "actual": 0.552, "baseline": 0.534, "model": 0.5521679829479471 }, { "time": 1792296000, "actual": 0.558, "baseline": 0.539, "model": 0.5595126675156405 }, { "time": 1792299600, "actual": 0.565, "baseline": 0.545, "model": 0.5658136201585009 }, { "time": 1792303200, "actual": 0.572, "baseline": 0.552, "model": 0.5724636429925176 }, { "time": 1792306800, "actual": 0.577, "baseline": 0.558, "model": 0.5766757557992642 }, { "time": 1792310400, "actual": 0.582, "baseline": 0.565, "model": 0.5799613548674816 }, { "time": 1792314000, "actual": 0.587, "baseline": 0.572, "model": 0.5830552809741699 }, { "time": 1792317600, "actual": 0.584, "baseline": 0.577, "model": 0.584256307383806 }, { "time": 1792321200, "actual": 0.587, "baseline": 0.582, "model": 0.5857361244814985 }, { "time": 1792324800, "actual": 0.581, "baseline": 0.587, "model": 0.5869452990875156 }, { "time": 1792328400, "actual": 0.578, "baseline": 0.584, "model": 0.5837518944550418 }, { "time": 1792332000, "actual": 0.573, "baseline": 0.587, "model": 0.5839451535059779 }, { "time": 1792335600, "actual": 0.576, "baseline": 0.581, "model": 0.5792381035631903 }, { "time": 1792339200, "actual": 0.573, "baseline": 0.578, "model": 0.5750083703961192 }, { "time": 1792342800, "actual": 0.578, "baseline": 0.573, "model": 0.5709740685693216 }, { "time": 1792346400, "actual": 0.577, "baseline": 0.576, "model": 0.5710697224117536 }, { "time": 1792350000, "actual": 0.575, "baseline": 0.573, "model": 0.5688248998042872 } ] }, { "horizon": 6, "trainCount": 450, "testCount": 196, "testStart": 1791597600, "testEnd": 1792328400, "metrics": [ { "model": "Persistence", "maeCm": 1.246938775510204, "rmseCm": 2.087181480037671 }, { "model": "Diglis trend model", "maeCm": 1.0078316869235313, "rmseCm": 1.7789955321635469 }, { "model": "Upstream + local rain", "maeCm": 0.5523430520827103, "rmseCm": 0.7969118636061143 } ], "trace": [ { "time": 1791619200, "actual": 0.495, "baseline": 0.496, "model": 0.4968759543960545 }, { "time": 1791622800, "actual": 0.496, "baseline": 0.496, "model": 0.4966453386096971 }, { "time": 1791626400, "actual": 0.495, "baseline": 0.496, "model": 0.4986744682156646 }, { "time": 1791630000, "actual": 0.497, "baseline": 0.496, "model": 0.4998281818242789 }, { "time": 1791633600, "actual": 0.495, "baseline": 0.496, "model": 0.4981682658200656 }, { "time": 1791637200, "actual": 0.494, "baseline": 0.496, "model": 0.4968811996694247 }, { "time": 1791640800, "actual": 0.498, "baseline": 0.495, "model": 0.49596453135638763 }, { "time": 1791644400, "actual": 0.498, "baseline": 0.496, "model": 0.49561275319383685 }, { "time": 1791648000, "actual": 0.502, "baseline": 0.495, "model": 0.5015098833975599 }, { "time": 1791651600, "actual": 0.502, "baseline": 0.497, "model": 0.5168721870880555 }, { "time": 1791655200, "actual": 0.503, "baseline": 0.495, "model": 0.5099957497253929 }, { "time": 1791658800, "actual": 0.5, "baseline": 0.494, "model": 0.4954133294649959 }, { "time": 1791662400, "actual": 0.499, "baseline": 0.498, "model": 0.49320397430741053 }, { "time": 1791666000, "actual": 0.499, "baseline": 0.498, "model": 0.49329394192352033 }, { "time": 1791669600, "actual": 0.498, "baseline": 0.502, "model": 0.4960874620586038 }, { "time": 1791673200, "actual": 0.5, "baseline": 0.502, "model": 0.4942735952381531 }, { "time": 1791676800, "actual": 0.5, "baseline": 0.503, "model": 0.4932903151164178 }, { "time": 1791680400, "actual": 0.5, "baseline": 0.5, "model": 0.4965441393410394 }, { "time": 1791684000, "actual": 0.502, "baseline": 0.499, "model": 0.4977647738469597 }, { "time": 1791687600, "actual": 0.501, "baseline": 0.499, "model": 0.49936902490585927 }, { "time": 1791691200, "actual": 0.501, "baseline": 0.498, "model": 0.4992062282116608 }, { "time": 1791694800, "actual": 0.504, "baseline": 0.5, "model": 0.5001515068218567 }, { "time": 1791698400, "actual": 0.509, "baseline": 0.5, "model": 0.49858603958484987 }, { "time": 1791702000, "actual": 0.523, "baseline": 0.5, "model": 0.4976571637447593 }, { "time": 1791705600, "actual": 0.543, "baseline": 0.502, "model": 0.5132417597431668 }, { "time": 1791709200, "actual": 0.566, "baseline": 0.501, "model": 0.5420807503607403 }, { "time": 1791712800, "actual": 0.586, "baseline": 0.501, "model": 0.5796892650545448 }, { "time": 1791716400, "actual": 0.604, "baseline": 0.504, "model": 0.6110397496142961 }, { "time": 1791720000, "actual": 0.615, "baseline": 0.509, "model": 0.6222625867330157 }, { "time": 1791723600, "actual": 0.623, "baseline": 0.523, "model": 0.6329396511382819 }, { "time": 1791727200, "actual": 0.631, "baseline": 0.543, "model": 0.6430999027282989 }, { "time": 1791730800, "actual": 0.618, "baseline": 0.566, "model": 0.654770949090954 }, { "time": 1791734400, "actual": 0.634, "baseline": 0.586, "model": 0.6555744036216465 }, { "time": 1791738000, "actual": 0.639, "baseline": 0.604, "model": 0.6414145046772236 }, { "time": 1791741600, "actual": 0.642, "baseline": 0.615, "model": 0.6304106965229888 }, { "time": 1791745200, "actual": 0.641, "baseline": 0.623, "model": 0.6281461040277304 }, { "time": 1791748800, "actual": 0.642, "baseline": 0.631, "model": 0.6330606488187553 }, { "time": 1791752400, "actual": 0.641, "baseline": 0.618, "model": 0.6212191972008048 }, { "time": 1791756000, "actual": 0.641, "baseline": 0.634, "model": 0.6280689208684446 }, { "time": 1791759600, "actual": 0.641, "baseline": 0.639, "model": 0.6291696564303841 }, { "time": 1791763200, "actual": 0.639, "baseline": 0.642, "model": 0.6297725681490356 }, { "time": 1791766800, "actual": 0.637, "baseline": 0.641, "model": 0.6307962272998211 }, { "time": 1791770400, "actual": 0.635, "baseline": 0.642, "model": 0.6305972353209367 }, { "time": 1791774000, "actual": 0.632, "baseline": 0.641, "model": 0.6264660186215208 }, { "time": 1791777600, "actual": 0.63, "baseline": 0.641, "model": 0.6254495444183293 }, { "time": 1791781200, "actual": 0.627, "baseline": 0.641, "model": 0.6254073355834189 }, { "time": 1791784800, "actual": 0.625, "baseline": 0.639, "model": 0.6222912023640786 }, { "time": 1791788400, "actual": 0.623, "baseline": 0.637, "model": 0.6216392243055047 }, { "time": 1791792000, "actual": 0.62, "baseline": 0.635, "model": 0.6194904195400406 }, { "time": 1791795600, "actual": 0.618, "baseline": 0.632, "model": 0.6184819925624508 }, { "time": 1791799200, "actual": 0.614, "baseline": 0.63, "model": 0.618256787566832 }, { "time": 1791802800, "actual": 0.612, "baseline": 0.627, "model": 0.6133396647061962 }, { "time": 1791806400, "actual": 0.613, "baseline": 0.625, "model": 0.6108761680039351 }, { "time": 1791810000, "actual": 0.613, "baseline": 0.623, "model": 0.6080916679970748 }, { "time": 1791813600, "actual": 0.611, "baseline": 0.62, "model": 0.6041558824589 }, { "time": 1791817200, "actual": 0.606, "baseline": 0.618, "model": 0.6064327766338304 }, { "time": 1791820800, "actual": 0.603, "baseline": 0.614, "model": 0.6149205546062319 }, { "time": 1791824400, "actual": 0.596, "baseline": 0.612, "model": 0.6106785614168734 }, { "time": 1791828000, "actual": 0.591, "baseline": 0.613, "model": 0.5985076143777026 }, { "time": 1791831600, "actual": 0.587, "baseline": 0.613, "model": 0.5866441137439965 }, { "time": 1791835200, "actual": 0.584, "baseline": 0.611, "model": 0.5866026602123132 }, { "time": 1791838800, "actual": 0.581, "baseline": 0.606, "model": 0.5814532459470094 }, { "time": 1791842400, "actual": 0.579, "baseline": 0.603, "model": 0.5792243462451728 }, { "time": 1791846000, "actual": 0.577, "baseline": 0.596, "model": 0.5717011142184084 }, { "time": 1791849600, "actual": 0.577, "baseline": 0.591, "model": 0.571219592940991 }, { "time": 1791853200, "actual": 0.573, "baseline": 0.587, "model": 0.5719987735971721 }, { "time": 1791856800, "actual": 0.568, "baseline": 0.584, "model": 0.5704133608917976 }, { "time": 1791860400, "actual": 0.566, "baseline": 0.581, "model": 0.569165460198927 }, { "time": 1791864000, "actual": 0.566, "baseline": 0.579, "model": 0.5671129269641885 }, { "time": 1791867600, "actual": 0.565, "baseline": 0.577, "model": 0.5648389187987285 }, { "time": 1791871200, "actual": 0.56, "baseline": 0.577, "model": 0.567161678270088 }, { "time": 1791874800, "actual": 0.563, "baseline": 0.573, "model": 0.5652097762730921 }, { "time": 1791878400, "actual": 0.56, "baseline": 0.568, "model": 0.5626972990436413 }, { "time": 1791882000, "actual": 0.561, "baseline": 0.566, "model": 0.5626799307238186 }, { "time": 1791885600, "actual": 0.561, "baseline": 0.566, "model": 0.5618330242434264 }, { "time": 1791889200, "actual": 0.557, "baseline": 0.565, "model": 0.5599525408450132 }, { "time": 1791892800, "actual": 0.56, "baseline": 0.56, "model": 0.5553560456016179 }, { "time": 1791896400, "actual": 0.556, "baseline": 0.563, "model": 0.5566110404952658 }, { "time": 1791900000, "actual": 0.557, "baseline": 0.56, "model": 0.5522661758020112 }, { "time": 1791903600, "actual": 0.552, "baseline": 0.561, "model": 0.5539904428240915 }, { "time": 1791907200, "actual": 0.55, "baseline": 0.561, "model": 0.5658885273507169 }, { "time": 1791910800, "actual": 0.549, "baseline": 0.557, "model": 0.5564623053860149 }, { "time": 1791914400, "actual": 0.546, "baseline": 0.56, "model": 0.5453653415315701 }, { "time": 1791918000, "actual": 0.545, "baseline": 0.556, "model": 0.5423119486907679 }, { "time": 1791921600, "actual": 0.545, "baseline": 0.557, "model": 0.5442318826180916 }, { "time": 1791925200, "actual": 0.544, "baseline": 0.552, "model": 0.5473239385487259 }, { "time": 1791928800, "actual": 0.544, "baseline": 0.55, "model": 0.5436761022277037 }, { "time": 1791932400, "actual": 0.543, "baseline": 0.549, "model": 0.5416403132236085 }, { "time": 1791936000, "actual": 0.542, "baseline": 0.546, "model": 0.5407581319511083 }, { "time": 1791939600, "actual": 0.54, "baseline": 0.545, "model": 0.5387691744390813 }, { "time": 1791943200, "actual": 0.539, "baseline": 0.545, "model": 0.538403908889039 }, { "time": 1791946800, "actual": 0.537, "baseline": 0.544, "model": 0.5347512628188469 }, { "time": 1791950400, "actual": 0.536, "baseline": 0.544, "model": 0.5345382148416755 }, { "time": 1791954000, "actual": 0.536, "baseline": 0.543, "model": 0.5334453105462557 }, { "time": 1791957600, "actual": 0.534, "baseline": 0.542, "model": 0.5340608302521503 }, { "time": 1791961200, "actual": 0.534, "baseline": 0.54, "model": 0.5328765754747659 }, { "time": 1791964800, "actual": 0.535, "baseline": 0.539, "model": 0.5346232813263454 }, { "time": 1791968400, "actual": 0.532, "baseline": 0.537, "model": 0.535215887169486 }, { "time": 1791972000, "actual": 0.538, "baseline": 0.536, "model": 0.5371555706404368 }, { "time": 1791975600, "actual": 0.533, "baseline": 0.536, "model": 0.5356971387696204 }, { "time": 1791979200, "actual": 0.532, "baseline": 0.534, "model": 0.5341078045371973 }, { "time": 1791982800, "actual": 0.531, "baseline": 0.534, "model": 0.5328340312048103 }, { "time": 1791986400, "actual": 0.534, "baseline": 0.535, "model": 0.5329338882008005 }, { "time": 1791990000, "actual": 0.534, "baseline": 0.532, "model": 0.5326134979940498 }, { "time": 1791993600, "actual": 0.529, "baseline": 0.538, "model": 0.5458267028902328 }, { "time": 1791997200, "actual": 0.53, "baseline": 0.533, "model": 0.5474778903781121 }, { "time": 1792000800, "actual": 0.524, "baseline": 0.532, "model": 0.5288815420984927 }, { "time": 1792004400, "actual": 0.523, "baseline": 0.531, "model": 0.5191983608598492 }, { "time": 1792008000, "actual": 0.523, "baseline": 0.534, "model": 0.5194231642229642 }, { "time": 1792011600, "actual": 0.521, "baseline": 0.534, "model": 0.521046996363039 }, { "time": 1792015200, "actual": 0.523, "baseline": 0.529, "model": 0.5200606572634108 }, { "time": 1792018800, "actual": 0.525, "baseline": 0.53, "model": 0.5179108363143318 }, { "time": 1792022400, "actual": 0.524, "baseline": 0.524, "model": 0.517918664551814 }, { "time": 1792026000, "actual": 0.521, "baseline": 0.523, "model": 0.5203402934251143 }, { "time": 1792029600, "actual": 0.522, "baseline": 0.523, "model": 0.5221724919264412 }, { "time": 1792033200, "actual": 0.522, "baseline": 0.521, "model": 0.5206048513019345 }, { "time": 1792036800, "actual": 0.521, "baseline": 0.523, "model": 0.5211564248284499 }, { "time": 1792040400, "actual": 0.519, "baseline": 0.525, "model": 0.5226596489081136 }, { "time": 1792044000, "actual": 0.521, "baseline": 0.524, "model": 0.5214392716856476 }, { "time": 1792047600, "actual": 0.521, "baseline": 0.521, "model": 0.5199324455376051 }, { "time": 1792051200, "actual": 0.523, "baseline": 0.522, "model": 0.5213693535279721 }, { "time": 1792054800, "actual": 0.523, "baseline": 0.522, "model": 0.5231500281473337 }, { "time": 1792058400, "actual": 0.522, "baseline": 0.521, "model": 0.5249950011624599 }, { "time": 1792062000, "actual": 0.521, "baseline": 0.519, "model": 0.5240190702332338 }, { "time": 1792069200, "actual": 0.526, "baseline": 0.521, "model": 0.5238898795089257 }, { "time": 1792072800, "actual": 0.527, "baseline": 0.523, "model": 0.52410443518845 }, { "time": 1792076400, "actual": 0.532, "baseline": 0.523, "model": 0.5267368025924323 }, { "time": 1792080000, "actual": 0.529, "baseline": 0.522, "model": 0.5367559743563188 }, { "time": 1792083600, "actual": 0.53, "baseline": 0.521, "model": 0.5377244413486518 }, { "time": 1792112400, "actual": 0.533, "baseline": 0.525, "model": 0.5298810207785148 }, { "time": 1792116000, "actual": 0.535, "baseline": 0.527, "model": 0.53038207303594 }, { "time": 1792119600, "actual": 0.538, "baseline": 0.528, "model": 0.5317639165759 }, { "time": 1792123200, "actual": 0.54, "baseline": 0.53, "model": 0.5305129128009612 }, { "time": 1792126800, "actual": 0.541, "baseline": 0.532, "model": 0.5342471738732217 }, { "time": 1792130400, "actual": 0.547, "baseline": 0.533, "model": 0.5344432166284571 }, { "time": 1792134000, "actual": 0.549, "baseline": 0.533, "model": 0.5347725417444217 }, { "time": 1792137600, "actual": 0.55, "baseline": 0.535, "model": 0.5428809249536063 }, { "time": 1792141200, "actual": 0.552, "baseline": 0.538, "model": 0.5459788423572995 }, { "time": 1792144800, "actual": 0.551, "baseline": 0.54, "model": 0.5481394508887721 }, { "time": 1792148400, "actual": 0.552, "baseline": 0.541, "model": 0.5477620785079 }, { "time": 1792152000, "actual": 0.549, "baseline": 0.547, "model": 0.5505405274118451 }, { "time": 1792155600, "actual": 0.554, "baseline": 0.549, "model": 0.5497919155189473 }, { "time": 1792159200, "actual": 0.554, "baseline": 0.55, "model": 0.5491781881987682 }, { "time": 1792162800, "actual": 0.559, "baseline": 0.552, "model": 0.5496910777846579 }, { "time": 1792166400, "actual": 0.561, "baseline": 0.551, "model": 0.559907252405553 }, { "time": 1792170000, "actual": 0.56, "baseline": 0.552, "model": 0.5639090538000183 }, { "time": 1792173600, "actual": 0.559, "baseline": 0.549, "model": 0.5472409122473891 }, { "time": 1792177200, "actual": 0.558, "baseline": 0.554, "model": 0.5373391909102403 }, { "time": 1792180800, "actual": 0.556, "baseline": 0.554, "model": 0.5360925639815693 }, { "time": 1792184400, "actual": 0.554, "baseline": 0.559, "model": 0.5423761859648876 }, { "time": 1792188000, "actual": 0.554, "baseline": 0.561, "model": 0.5449247006902057 }, { "time": 1792191600, "actual": 0.552, "baseline": 0.56, "model": 0.5421306973862581 }, { "time": 1792195200, "actual": 0.552, "baseline": 0.559, "model": 0.54601538938111 }, { "time": 1792198800, "actual": 0.55, "baseline": 0.558, "model": 0.5498025554069594 }, { "time": 1792202400, "actual": 0.55, "baseline": 0.556, "model": 0.5512686893783277 }, { "time": 1792206000, "actual": 0.547, "baseline": 0.554, "model": 0.5533084628427931 }, { "time": 1792209600, "actual": 0.545, "baseline": 0.554, "model": 0.5512999291364864 }, { "time": 1792213200, "actual": 0.544, "baseline": 0.552, "model": 0.5492302269094418 }, { "time": 1792216800, "actual": 0.543, "baseline": 0.552, "model": 0.5485425073720538 }, { "time": 1792220400, "actual": 0.542, "baseline": 0.55, "model": 0.5472635999165566 }, { "time": 1792224000, "actual": 0.54, "baseline": 0.55, "model": 0.548332291233227 }, { "time": 1792227600, "actual": 0.538, "baseline": 0.547, "model": 0.5464529210744092 }, { "time": 1792231200, "actual": 0.538, "baseline": 0.545, "model": 0.5465439330791608 }, { "time": 1792234800, "actual": 0.535, "baseline": 0.544, "model": 0.5447576029808873 }, { "time": 1792238400, "actual": 0.528, "baseline": 0.543, "model": 0.5436974733622996 }, { "time": 1792242000, "actual": 0.532, "baseline": 0.542, "model": 0.5424120548141537 }, { "time": 1792245600, "actual": 0.53, "baseline": 0.54, "model": 0.5389438148101499 }, { "time": 1792249200, "actual": 0.531, "baseline": 0.538, "model": 0.5360080984403409 }, { "time": 1792252800, "actual": 0.53, "baseline": 0.538, "model": 0.5442411461891449 }, { "time": 1792256400, "actual": 0.527, "baseline": 0.535, "model": 0.546707323830617 }, { "time": 1792260000, "actual": 0.524, "baseline": 0.528, "model": 0.5274044048255442 }, { "time": 1792263600, "actual": 0.524, "baseline": 0.532, "model": 0.5221844020621214 }, { "time": 1792267200, "actual": 0.524, "baseline": 0.53, "model": 0.5211710115193517 }, { "time": 1792270800, "actual": 0.525, "baseline": 0.531, "model": 0.5234267650993728 }, { "time": 1792274400, "actual": 0.528, "baseline": 0.53, "model": 0.5254879448768955 }, { "time": 1792278000, "actual": 0.53, "baseline": 0.527, "model": 0.5240000819462406 }, { "time": 1792281600, "actual": 0.534, "baseline": 0.524, "model": 0.5249949218451287 }, { "time": 1792285200, "actual": 0.539, "baseline": 0.524, "model": 0.5335597051365514 }, { "time": 1792288800, "actual": 0.545, "baseline": 0.524, "model": 0.54129039066886 }, { "time": 1792292400, "actual": 0.552, "baseline": 0.525, "model": 0.547796398818443 }, { "time": 1792296000, "actual": 0.558, "baseline": 0.528, "model": 0.558760027441871 }, { "time": 1792299600, "actual": 0.565, "baseline": 0.53, "model": 0.5642176791851438 }, { "time": 1792303200, "actual": 0.572, "baseline": 0.534, "model": 0.5717730793057769 }, { "time": 1792306800, "actual": 0.577, "baseline": 0.539, "model": 0.5789056974176527 }, { "time": 1792310400, "actual": 0.582, "baseline": 0.545, "model": 0.5816406225989136 }, { "time": 1792314000, "actual": 0.587, "baseline": 0.552, "model": 0.5873775151857358 }, { "time": 1792317600, "actual": 0.584, "baseline": 0.558, "model": 0.586230945609696 }, { "time": 1792321200, "actual": 0.587, "baseline": 0.565, "model": 0.5840704271150681 }, { "time": 1792324800, "actual": 0.581, "baseline": 0.572, "model": 0.5857922946555444 }, { "time": 1792328400, "actual": 0.578, "baseline": 0.577, "model": 0.5831407116616553 }, { "time": 1792332000, "actual": 0.573, "baseline": 0.582, "model": 0.5836604536106745 }, { "time": 1792335600, "actual": 0.576, "baseline": 0.587, "model": 0.5831322517094358 }, { "time": 1792339200, "actual": 0.573, "baseline": 0.584, "model": 0.5784213376670504 }, { "time": 1792342800, "actual": 0.578, "baseline": 0.587, "model": 0.5780224172037731 }, { "time": 1792346400, "actual": 0.577, "baseline": 0.581, "model": 0.57295282824043 }, { "time": 1792350000, "actual": 0.575, "baseline": 0.578, "model": 0.5709009765782561 } ] } ], "alignedHours": 663 }